Team Predictions through 140 Games
The 140 game park passed on September 5 with no major changes since the August 14 records check. The table below lists pre-season predictions and real winning percents for all teams, sortable on each column.
|Team||Pre-Season Win %||Sep 5 Win %||Act.-Pre|
|Toronto Blue Jays||0.514||0.514||0.000|
|Boston Red Sox||0.576||0.440||-0.136|
|New York Yankees||0.530||0.518||-0.012|
|Tampa Bay Rays||0.536||0.479||-0.057|
|Kansas City Royals||0.553||0.561||0.008|
|Chicago White Sox||0.380||0.450||0.070|
|New York Mets||0.428||0.475||0.047|
|St. Louis Cardinals||0.644||0.546||-0.098|
|Los Angeles Dodgers||0.600||0.560||-0.040|
|San Francisco Giants||0.492||0.546||0.054|
|San Diego Padres||0.474||0.471||-0.003|
The predictions at this point are off by almost exactly five percent per team, which extrapolates to about 8.1 games per 162. The records of teams have diverged from predictions slight since the August 14 check in when the divergence was just under 8 games per 162. The Texas Rangers and Boston Red Sox records are even worse, the Baltimore Orioles record is even better. All three teams thus furthered themselves from March expectations.